Bayesian demand updating in the lost sales newsvendor problem: A two-moment approximation

We consider Bayesian updating of demand in a lost sales newsvendor model with censored observations. In a lost sales environment, where the arrival process is not recorded, the exact demand is not observed if it exceeds the beginning stock level, resulting in censored observations. Adopting a Bayesian approach for updating the demand distribution, we develop expressions for the exact posteriors starting with conjugate priors, for negative binomial, gamma, Poisson and normal distributions. Having shown that non-informative priors result in degenerate predictive densities except for negative binomial demand, we propose an approximation within the conjugate family by matching the first two moments of the posterior distribution. The conjugacy property of the priors also ensure analytical tractability and ease of computation in successive updates. In our numerical study, we show that the posteriors and the predictive demand distributions obtained exactly and with the approximation are very close to each other, and that the approximation works very well from both probabilistic and operational perspectives in a sequential updating setting as well.     

芯片封装焊球连接疲劳寿命预测分析--能量法和有效应变法之比较

研究了目前常用的两种芯片封装焊球连接的寿命预测方法一能量法和有效应变法。对焊球连接的材料本构关系进行了对比分析，并利用FORTRAN语言编制了相应的材料本构模型子程序，将其与有限元仿真工具ANSYS耦合，实现了将焊球连接的材料本构模型用户子程序导入到ANSYS的材料库。在此基础上模拟了三维芯片叠层球栅阵列尺寸封装的焊球结构，在热循环条件下(-40～ 125℃的工作状态，并分别利用能量法和有效应变法对焊球连接的寿命预测进行了比较分析，最后对两种方法作出了评价。     

On tolerance lattices of algebras in congruence modular varieties

We prove that the tolerance lattice TolA of an algebra A from a congruence modular variety V is 0-1 modular and satisfies the general disjointness property. If V is congruence distributive, then the lattice Tol A is pseudocomplemented. If V admits a majority term, then Tol A is 0-modular. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

σ-多项式的根

§ 1　IntroductionAll graphs considered are finite and simple.Undefined notation and terminology willconform to those in[1 ] .Let V(G) ,E(G) and Gdenote the vertex set,edge set and complement of a graph G,respectively. Let P(G,x) andσ(G,x) denote the chromatic polynomial andσ-polynomialof G,respectively.The log-concavity property of the chromatic polynomial andσ-polyno-mial of G has a close relation to their roots,which were well studied in[2 ,3] .Results onthe study of the roots of…     

一种基于功率谱对数变换的联合变换相关器

联合功率谱的高频成份对相关峰识别具有重要作用,实验中记录的联合功率谱随着频率的增加其强度迅速降低。为增强联合功率谱的高频成分,改善其调制程度,可对功率谱进行对数变换,从而有效保留更多的高频成份,压低零级衍射光斑,提高联合变换相关器的识别能力。     

Reservoir operations optimization via fuzzy criterion decision processes

In this paper, we propose the treatment of complex reservoir operation problems via our newly developed tool of fuzzy criterion decision processes. This novel approach has been shown to be a more flexible and useful analysis tool especially when it is desirable to incorporate an expert’s knowledge into the decision models. Additionally, it has been demonstrated that this form of decision models will usually result in an optimal solution, which guarantees the highest satisfactory degree. We provide a practical exemplification procedure for the models presented as well as an application example.     

Some Finite Time Ruin Problems in Markov-Modulated Risk Model

This paper studies the distribution of finite-time ruin quantities. It gives the probability mass function of finite time number of claims, and find the distribution function of aggregate claims by using discretise method and compared with exact distribution function, which shows that the approximation works very well. In addition, by applying decomposition for density function, it gives the explicit expression for joint density of ruin time and deficit at ruin.     

Widrow-cellular neural network and optoelectronic implementation

A new type of optoelectronic cellular neural network has been developed by providing the capability of coefficients adjusment of cellular neural network (CNN) using Widrow based perceptron learning algorithm. The new supervised cellular neural network is called Widrow-CNN. Despite the unsupervised CNN, the proposed learning algorithm allows to use the Widrow-CNN for various image processing applications easily. Also, the capability of CNN for image processing and feature extraction has been improved using basic joint transform correlation architecture. This hardware application presents high speed processing capability compared to digital applications. The optoelectronic Widrow-CNN has been tested for classic CNN feature extraction problems. It yields the best results even in case of hard feature extraction problems such as diagonal line detection and vertical line determination.     

联合勤务保障体系网络化建模与研究方法

为了研究联合勤务保障体系在作战行动中的作用,并为体系作战建立网络化的研究方法,提出了一种包含联合勤务网络的四层复杂作战网络,建立了相应的网络化模型。首先,对联合勤务保障体系进行了网络化的定义与描述,得到了认知域、信息域、物理域、联合勤务网络内每个节点的状态属性值;然后,建立了不同网络之间的涌现性模型,提出了作战链与勤务保障链的概念,通过定义涌现满足度曲线,得到了每个节点的网络涌现程度值;最后,针对同层网络和不同层网络分别提出了对应的网络体系同步能力提高方法。研究结果表明:建立的网络化模型与提高同步能力的方法合理有效,对于体系作战的量化研究有一定的实践意义。     

Interface microstructure and diffusion kinetics in diffusion bonded Mg/Al joint

The interface microstructure, formation of diffusion bonded joint and regulation of atom diffusion were studied by means of scanning electron microscope (SEM), energy dispersion spectroscopy (EDS) and electron probe microanalyser (EPMA). The experimental results indicated that an obvious interfacial transition zone was formed between Mg and Al, and there are three intermetallic layers Mg₁₇Al₁₂, MgAl and Mg₂Al₃ in this zone. Diffusion activation energy of Mg and Al in the above layers was lower than that in the Mg and Al base metals. The thickness (x) of each layer can be expressed as x ² = 4.14exp(−28780/RT)(t−t ₀), x ² = 31.4exp(−25550/RT)(t−t ₀) and x ² = 0.6exp(−22600/RT)(t−t ₀) corresponding to Mg₁₇Al₁₂, MgAl and Mg₂Al₃ with heating temperature (T) and holding time (t).